In an article published in the run up to Christmas 2024, I discussed the growing tendency in many organisations of the traditional Christmas peak starting to diminish, due to a variety of factors. Musing on the question of whether we had “…passed peak peak” (see what I did, there?) I wondered whether a reduction in the scale of ‘peak seasons’ was being paralleled by a growth in other sorts of both structural and spontaneous increases in contacts.
I was reminded of this article – and the discussions with colleagues and partners that inspired it – when I came across what was a new term to me, last week. The phrase is ‘perma-peak’ – the concept of a long-running or perpetual series of periods of high contact demand.
If the old, usually Christmas-related, peak season was the product of a society-wide, predictable (but hard to handle!) patterns of behaviour, then a perma-peak reflects a very different world. One in which both consumers and brands exhibit or can leverage greater personalisation, but in which demand patterns can spread and grow very rapidly:
1. Brands now have the ability to test and flex proposition and pricing, with instantaneous digital communication to customers and prospects
2. Social network effects can massively amplify the features and virtues of an offer or product – be that from an ill-prepared start-up or a settled, established big player. And, of course, negative aspects or faults can also be shared and multiplied, resulting in a flood of questions, complaints or claims
Pattern non-recognition
Despite advances in analytics automation and machine learning / AI, understanding and responding to demand changes in real time remains difficult and rare. Contact centres have always been operationally flexible and able to display great agility, but this is typically still a manual, even instinctive, response.
When insights are predominantly based on pattern recognition, increasing unpredictability makes operational flexibility a consistent challenge.
Likewise, agent assist and self-service tools and guidance will largely be optimised on the basis of prior experience. Unexpected demand spikes might be driven by either new query types and failure demand triggers, or factors in a novel combination.
Planning for the unplannable
In traditionally ‘peaky’ business sectors like retail, peak planning is an intrinsic part of how businesses are run. If you have a Christmas peak then thinking about how to handle it the following year typically starts in January, before the backlog of post-Christmas complex queries and complaints has even gone! Planning for the unpredictable is a different challenge.
So, if we really are entering an era of perma-peaks, will contract centre operations find themselves back in the era of watching service level charts drop precipitously whilst wondering what on earth is going on?
Not necessarily.
Perma-peaks need perma-flex
Just because tried and tested techniques are strained or start to fail, doesn’t mean that they can’t be revisited, adapted and fine-tuned.
• Workforce Management may become more orientated around rapidly identifying the different characteristics of peaks and corralling real-time shift flexing – and less about aligning scheduled staffing to forecast demand
• Your attempts to match staffing to demand may be less focused on seasonal efforts with shift banking and the use of temporary or fixed-term contract workers, but instead looking at incentivising intra-day shift flexibility or the peak use of a ‘gig’ model, using either in-house or outsourced workers
• Customer guidance, contact steering and self-service options will need to be able to be changed and weighted immediately in the light of peaks or troughs in demand. Root causes of demand spikes need to be identified and addressed – including restricting the promotion of or access to certain contact channels for limited periods, if required
• ‘Unforced errors’ by which organisations inadvertently trigger customer contact need to be avoided. Experience shows that the best way of doing this is through ensuring the contact centre has ‘a seat at the table’ when initiatives and campaigns are being designed
Whether you think that your next peak could be with you at any moment – or you’re confident that it will kick in from the 2nd week of October, just like every year – how to do you anticipate, plan and prepare?
Let us know; we’d love to share experiences and ideas.
